A new electoral survey reveals that Brad Lander, the former New York City comptroller who secured endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, maintains a substantial lead over incumbent U.S. Representative Dan Goldman in the Democratic primary race for New York’s 10th Congressional District.
The polling data, released Thursday by Emerson College and PIX 11, shows Lander commanding 57% support among likely Democratic primary voters, while Goldman trails with 23% – a 34-point margin. The district encompasses lower Manhattan and portions of Brooklyn. Twenty percent of surveyed voters remain undecided.
Lander’s support appears particularly strong among younger demographics. Voters under 40 favor him over Goldman by a margin of 73% to 15%, according to Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. The race becomes more competitive among older voters, with those over 70 splitting 38% for Lander and 31% for Goldman.
The former comptroller gained significant media attention last summer when he was arrested while escorting an individual out of immigration court in Lower Manhattan, an incident that appears to have resonated with progressive voters in the district.
In New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering areas of Brooklyn and Queens, the race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez shows a much tighter contest. State Assemblymember Claire Valdez leads with 23% support, closely followed by Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 21% and City Councilmember Julie Won at 13%. Notably, 43% of voters in this district remain undecided, suggesting the race remains highly fluid.
Age demographics again play a crucial role in voter preferences. Voters under 40 support Valdez over Reynoso by 33% to 15%, while those in their 40s are nearly evenly split at 23% for Valdez and 22% for Reynoso. Voters over 50 favor Reynoso over Valdez by 27% to 13%.
The 12th Congressional District race, spanning much of Manhattan, presents another competitive primary to fill the seat of Jerry Nadler, who is not seeking reelection after 33 years in the House. State Assemblymember Micah Lasher, who received Nadler’s endorsement, leads with 22% support, narrowly ahead of Assemblymember Alex Bores at 20%. Social media commentator Jack Schlossberg and attorney George Conway trail with 11% and 10% respectively.
Gender appears to influence voter preferences in this district, with men supporting Bores over Lasher 27% to 19%, while women favor Lasher over Bores 24% to 15%, with Schlossberg garnering 13% support among female voters.
Mayor Mamdani’s influence appears significant across all three districts, with approval ratings of 79% in the 10th District, 78% in the 7th District, and 66% in the 12th District among Democratic voters.
The Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 23, with early voting available from June 13 to June 21. Given New York’s strong Democratic lean, primary victors are widely expected to succeed in November’s general election.
The surveys included 450 respondents in the 10th District, 350 in the 7th District, and 425 in the 12th District, providing a snapshot of voter sentiment as candidates intensify their campaign efforts in the final weeks before the primary.
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